• Sat. Jul 2nd, 2022

Salem al-Ketbi is an Emirati political analyst and former candidate for the UAE’s Federal National Council. Here are his comments in the newspaper Israel Hayom.

In the short period that has passed between the administration of the elected president Joe Biden has been piled on the legs and the recent election in the United States, there have been several developments, writes al-ketbi. Many judgments have been put together by the elected president’s team and if the incoming US government decides to return to an unconditional nuclear deal with Iran, from which the Trump administration withdrew in 2018, it will pose a serious threat to the Gulf countries. and Israel. According to al-Ketbi, the best strategic option would be to coordinate efforts and strong cooperation between all parties affected by the Iranian threat. Read MIF’s previous articles on Iran HERE.

At the same time, Infinitum News reported today that a spokesman for the Iranian government has stated that Iran has started enriching uranium with a purity percentage of 20 in an underground facility. According to the state-run news agency IRNA, it is President Hassan Rouhani who has given the order. Read more here.

The countries’ views must be communicated to the new US administration and pressure must be made to get them to assess for and against the nuclear agreement with Iran, writes al-Ketbi. Al-Ketbi stresses that it will in no way be beneficial to reverse the decision to withdraw quickly from the agreement without an integrated framework that ensures that the situation is remedied and that the gaps in the agreement in its current form are filled. The GCC countries and Israel are the United States’ traditional strategic allies, al-Ketbi adds.

Regardless of the existing levels of alliance and strategic partnerships, the ties are considered paramount to US interests – all the more so should the United States give high priority to the views of the parties. They cannot be ignored if there is coordination between the parties to bring comprehensive and integrated solutions to the future US government. If that is the case, al-Ketbi adds, the administration will not be able to ignore the demands of the Gulf states.

Official relations were established a few months ago between Israel, the Emirates and Bahrain (the Abrahamic Agreements – read more HERE). Other countries in the region need more time and the right conditions before they want to join.

The future looks bright for those countries that want peace, stability rather than conflict and tensions that have characterized the region for decades. Al-Ketbi therefore believes that the GCC countries should participate in negotiations with the Iranian regime and the 5 + 1 group.

Al-Ketbi believes it will be analogous to the six-party nuclear talks held a few years ago between North Korea, the United States, Russia, China, South Korea and Japan. Al-Ketbi believes the formula is ideal for building a solid foundation for regional security. At the same time, al-Ketbi does not believe that the Iranian regime will meet such a demand. This is not because it is unrealistic, but rather because the Iranian regime sees itself as being superior to other countries in the region. The Iranian regime completely rejects “par in parem non habet imperium”; equality in its relations with the GCC countries.

The Iranian regime does not take into account the dramatic changes that have taken place over the past few decades that have led the countries to a successful development and created a regional and international status that places them on an equal footing with, if not better than any other regional power. , points out al-Ketbi.

Countries such as Saudi Arabia and the Emirates have become the new regional leaders thanks to their economies, making them the region’s biggest players. Israel is a strong state in various areas of development – also militarily, al-Ketbi emphasizes, and Israel has entered into a strong strategic alliance with all the great powers.

The GCC countries and Israel must have comparative advantages and influence with the United States
. They must be used to transmit and defend their views with reason and force in the face of a strong tendency by the future US government to accept an unconditional return to the nuclear deal with Iran.

According to al-Ketbi, the reason for this is that what happens in the coming period will be crucial for future regional security. According to the latest US reports, incumbent President Biden’s team is concerned that some countries in the Middle East will try to derail the nuclear deal rather than improve it.

Al-Ketbi does not think a country as significant as the United States should fear it. Then-President Obama sacrificed the wrath of all US allies in the Gulf and the Middle East to sign a flawed nuclear deal with Iran.

The United States Ambassador to the United States, Yousef al-Otaiba, stated that any agreement with Iran would affect the GCC countries – not the powers that sign the nuclear deal with Iran. According to al-Ketbi, it is a fact that everyone needs a degree of clarity, openness and accountability. These are the countries that are currently suffering from the consequences of the opportunistic exploitation of loopholes in the nuclear deal to expand and subject certain states in the region.

Iran’s insidious influence in Yemen, Iraq and Syria and interference in Bahrain’s internal affairs are perhaps the best evidence of the threat facing the countries in the region as a result of the international community’s lack of response to the Iranian threat, Ketbi.

Everyone knows that the Iranian regime threatens the Gulf countries and Israel every time they face a security problem. Frequent official statements by the Iranian regime focus on threatening neighboring countries with direct and indirect military attacks and influence from Iran-funded and armed terrorist organizations. Read MIFF’s articles about the terrorist organization Hezbollah HERE.

Security in the Gulf region and the Middle East has been held hostage to the mediocrity of the Iranian regime. The Iranian regime has no development project for its own people and wants neither peace nor stability, but rather chaos and tension.

Chaos gives the Iranian regime the pretexts it needs to distract the Iranian people from their suffering and internal problems. It creates external problems which prolongs the life of the regime which carries all the nuisances to its own doom.

The strategic reality is complex. Cooperation and coordination between the GCC countries and Israel to curb Iran’s ambition and threat is required to persuade incumbent President Biden’s administration to investigate the situation in good time before a nuclear deal is signed. It is crucial for all those who seek to ensure the security of our region, concludes al-Ketbi.

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